As part of CEP’s role as a partner in CECAN (Centre for the Evaluation of Complexity Across the Nexus), CEP is carrying out a meta-evaluation of a sample of the evaluation projects it has undertaken over the last 10 years. The review will seek to learn the lessons from past policy evaluations, and the value of different types of approaches and methods used for evaluating complexity. This extensive meta-evaluation of projects will support CECAN’s initial scoping stage and provide critical insights in understanding complexity and developing new ways to measure the effectiveness of policies across the ‘nexus’. CEP’s Dr Clare Twigger-Ross and Dr Bill Sheate are joint project leads.
Introducing the newest member of the CECAN team based at The University of York - Adam Hejnowicz has joined as a CECAN postdoctoral researcher. He has kindly written a short biography:
My interests span ecology, greography, economics and social science in the context of environmental issues, nature-society relations and the science-policy interface. I have recently completed my doctoral studies in Environment Economics and Environmental Management at the University of York where my research focused on the theories and applications of ecosystem services, approached particularly from a social-ecological and systems perspective, and mainly in relation to science-policy and management-relevant environmental interventions - specifically incentive-based management strategies such as payments for ecosystem services and agri-environment schemes.
Professor Nigel Gilbert, Dr Lynne Hamill and Nicolas Payette delivered an intensive one day workshop in Agent Based Modelling, to a group of economists from UK Government on 3rd August. Delegates were impressed with the content of the course, and the speakers' knowledge and clarity of explanations. All were extremely pleased with the structure of the course and felt the day had been useful to their ongoing work in Government.
"It was a great introduction and overview to ABM..."
"I very much liked the applied aspect of the training, seeing models explained, the code and meaning, playing around with them and asking questions..."
How do we use policy modelling in a complex world? Professor Bruce Edmonds explored this challenging question in CECAN's second seminar on 18th July, and the session is summed up here by CECAN's Knowledge Integrator, Dr Candice Howarth:
The very nature of complex systems means that they can be impossible to predict, particularly when they exist in the context of structural changes. As complex systems need to be managed in different ways, so do the models that are used in policy development to assess how to navigate the web of challenges that characterise these systems. A complex system is one that is difficult to model (and at times cannot be modelled) and hence processes that occur outside its defined scope, can overwhelm its results. Professor Edmonds explored how issues that arise from modelling often result from confusion about modelling purposes, how models are used and the conditions under which a model is used and useful for a specific purpose.
23rd June will go down in history as a very difficult day in Westminster - Brexit Day. Nonetheless, Andrew Darnton and Andrew Harrison boldly produced an engaging and thought provoking complexity seminar in Whitehall and we thank them wholeheartedly for a superb event. The seminar topic was 'Revaluation: Measuring Paradigm Shift'. 'Revaluation', a new innovative method for measuring change in complex systems, was presented and discussed. Revaluation comes out of a year's work evaluating 'bottom-up' change within the NHS. It is an approach based on participative methods, in which evaluators and evaluated are equal actors in a system of measurement, designed to reveal the ‘full value’ of the change intervention or movement. Since its evolution in the ‘messy’ system of the NHS, Revaluation has been applied to the challenge of tackling biodiversity, and to repositioning the public arts. Notes from this seminar are listed below. Notes and presentation slides are available to download in PDF here.
CECAN Lunchtime Seminar #1