How do we use policy modelling in a complex world? Professor Bruce Edmonds explored this challenging question in CECAN's second seminar on 18th July, and the session is summed up here by CECAN's Knowledge Integrator, Dr Candice Howarth:
The very nature of complex systems means that they can be impossible to predict, particularly when they exist in the context of structural changes. As complex systems need to be managed in different ways, so do the models that are used in policy development to assess how to navigate the web of challenges that characterise these systems. A complex system is one that is difficult to model (and at times cannot be modelled) and hence processes that occur outside its defined scope, can overwhelm its results. Professor Edmonds explored how issues that arise from modelling often result from confusion about modelling purposes, how models are used and the conditions under which a model is used and useful for a specific purpose.
23rd June will go down in history as a very difficult day in Westminster - Brexit Day. Nonetheless, Andrew Darnton and Andrew Harrison boldly produced an engaging and thought provoking complexity seminar in Whitehall and we thank them wholeheartedly for a superb event. The seminar topic was 'Revaluation: Measuring Paradigm Shift'. 'Revaluation', a new innovative method for measuring change in complex systems, was presented and discussed. Revaluation comes out of a year's work evaluating 'bottom-up' change within the NHS. It is an approach based on participative methods, in which evaluators and evaluated are equal actors in a system of measurement, designed to reveal the ‘full value’ of the change intervention or movement. Since its evolution in the ‘messy’ system of the NHS, Revaluation has been applied to the challenge of tackling biodiversity, and to repositioning the public arts. Notes from this seminar are listed below. Notes and presentation slides are available to download in PDF here.
CECAN Lunchtime Seminar #1