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CECAN Evaluation and Policy Practice Notes (EPPNs)

1 | Qualitative Comparative Analysis: A Pragmatic Method for Evaluating Intervention

2 | Testing Contribution Claims with Bayesian Updating

3 | Agent Based Modelling for Evaluation

4 | Dependency Models

5 | Learning Lessons for Evaluating Complexity Across the Nexus

6 | Dynamic Pattern Synthesis

7 | Revaluation: A Participative Approach to Measuring and Making Change

8 | Maximising Impact from Evaluations in Complex Policy Areas

9 | Managing Deep Uncertainty: Exploratory Modelling, Adaptive Plans and Decision Support

10 | Evaluating complex policy for rural development at a time of dynamic change

11 | Evaluating Complexity in Context using Qualitative Comparative Analysis: The Environment Agency and Waste Crime

12 | Negotiating Complexity in Evaluation Planning: A Participatory Systems Map of the Energy Trilemma

13 | A Bayesian Network for Policy Evaluation

14 | Regulating the Future – The Food Standards Agency (FSA)

15 | Using Complexity and Theory of Change to Transform Regulation: A Complex Theory of Change for the Food Standards Agency’s ‘Regulating Our Future’ Programme

16 | Complexity and what it means for policy design, implementation and evaluation

17 | Participatory Systems Mapping in action —Supporting the evaluation of the Renewable Heat Incentive

18 | Mapping complex policy landscapes: the example of 'Mobility as a Service'

19 | Outcome Likelihoods and Causal Analysis (OLCA)
Structured influence mapping and Bayesian belief networks
for evaluating outcome likelihoods

Missed the CECAN Conference 2026: Global Perspectives on Complex Evaluation? Catch up on the discussions with policy evaluation experts from the US & Europe. 🔗 Head over to our videos page to watch the recordings: www.cecan.ac.uk/videos/ #PolicyEvaluation #Complexity

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— CECAN (@cecan.bsky.social) July 13, 2026 at 3:17 PM

In case you missed our latest webinar: 'Testing, Learning and Adapting: Introducing the New Test and Learn Annex to the Magenta Book', presented by Dr Gloria Crabolu, a recording is now available on the CECAN website: www.cecan.ac.uk/videos/

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— CECAN (@cecan.bsky.social) June 25, 2026 at 9:21 AM